The Lesson of This Week’s Awards Shows: While We Were Talking About ‘Emilia Pérez,’ People Were Already Voting for ‘Anora’

With Oscar voting beginning on Tuesday, has Sean Baker’s film quietly built the consensus it needs to win?

Anora Producers Guild Awards
"Anora" producers Alex Coco, Samantha Quan and Sean Baker at the Producers Guild Awards (Getty Images)

On the surface, last weekend’s two-day, three-show sweep for “Anora” appeared an unlikely surge for a film that had been losing momentum as an Oscar favorite.

In reality, though, what happened is probably less of a case of “Anora” rallying than it is a simple matter of Oscar watchers learning more about what voters have probably been thinking all along.

The lesson began on Friday evening at about 6:55 p.m. With one award left to go at the Critics Choice Awards, “Anora” seemed to be about fourth or fifth on the list of likely Best Picture winners. It had gone 0-for-5 at the Golden Globes in early January and had gone 0-for-6 with Critics Choice voters going into the final award of the night – and not only had “Wicked” director Jon M.

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