In another weird award season that’s been disrupted by the pandemic, here are our best guesses in all 23 categories. Go here for my complete analysis in each race.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted nominees (in alphabetical order):
“Belfast”
“CODA”
“Don’t Look Up”
“Dune”
“King Richard”
“Licorice Pizza”
“Nightmare Alley”
“The Power of the Dog”
“tick, tick…BOOM!”
“West Side Story”
Watch out for: “Being the Ricardos,” “No Time to Die,” “The Tragedy of Macbeth”
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted nominees:
Pedro Almodóvar, “Parallel Mothers”
Paul Thomas Anderson, “Licorice Pizza”
Kenneth Branagh, “Belfast”
Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog”
Denis Villeneuve, “Dune”
Watch out for: Guillermo del Toro, “Nightmare Alley”; Ryusuke Hamaguchi, “Drive My Car”; Steven Spielberg, “West Side Story”
BEST ACTOR
Predicted nominees:
Javier Bardem, “Being the Ricardos”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Power of the Dog”
Andrew Garfield, “tick, tick…BOOM!”
Will Smith, “King Richard”
Denzel Washington, “The Tragedy of Macbeth”
Watch out for: Bradley Cooper, “Nightmare Alley”; Leonardo DiCaprio, “Don’t Walk Up”; Peter Dinklage, “Cyrano”
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted nominees:
Olivia Colman, “The Lost Daughter”
Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye”
Penélope Cruz, “Parallel Mothers”
Nicole Kidman, “Being the Ricardos”
Lady Gaga, “House of Gucci”
Watch out for: Jennifer Hudson, “Respect”; Kristen Stewart, “Spencer”; Rachel Zegler, “West Side Story”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted nominees:
Bradley Cooper, “Licorice Pizza”
Jamie Dornan, “Belfast”
Ciaran Hinds, “Belfast”
Troy Kotsur, “CODA”
Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog”
Watch out for:” Jared Leto, “House of Gucci”; Jesse Plemons, “The Power of the Dog”; J.K. Simmons, “Being the Ricardos”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted nominees:
Caitriona Balfe, “Belfast”
Cate Blanchett, “Nightmare Alley”
Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story”
Kirsten Dunst, “The Power of the Dog”
Aunjanue Ellis, “King Richard”
Watch out for: Jessie Buckley, “The Lost Daughter”; Rita Moreno, “West Side Story”; Ruth Negga, “Passing”
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted nominees:
“CODA”
“Drive My Car”
“The Lost Daughter”
“The Power of the Dog”
“West Side Story”
Watch out for: “Dune,” “The Tragedy of Macbeth,” “Passing”
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted nominees:
“Being the Ricardos”
“Belfast”
“Don’t Look Up”
“King Richard”
“Licorice Pizza”
Watch out for: “C’mon C’mon,” “The French Dispatch,” “Parallel Mothers”
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Predicted nominees:
“Belfast”
“Dune”
“The Power of the Dog”
“The Tragedy of Macbeth”
“West Side Story”
Watch out for: “Cyrano,” “Nightmare Alley,” “No Time to Die”
BEST FILM EDITING
Predicted nominees:
“Belfast”
“Dune”
“No Time to Die”
“The Power of the Dog”
“West Side Story”
Watch out for: “Don’t Look Up,” “Licorice Pizza,” “Nightmare Alley”
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Predicted nominees:
“Cyrano”
“Dune”
“The French Dispatch”
“Nightmare Alley”
“West Side Story”
Watch out for: “Belfast,” “Licorice Pizza,” “The Tragedy of Macbeth”
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Predicted nominees:
“Cruella”
“Cyrano”
“Dune”
“The French Dispatch”
“Nightmare Alley”
Watch out for: “House of Gucci,” “Licorice Pizza,” “West Side Story”
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Predicted nominees:
“Cruella”
“Dune”
“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”
“House of Gucci”
“Nightmare Alley”
Watch out for: “Coming 2 America,” “No Time to Die,” “West Side Story”
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Predicted nominees:
“Don’t Look Up”
“Dune”
“The French Dispatch”
“No Time to Die”
“The Power of the Dog”
Watch out for: “Encanto,” “King Richard,” “Parallel Mothers”
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Predicted nominees:
“Dos Oruguitas” from “Encanto”
“Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)” from “Respect”
“Just Look Up” from “Don’t Look Up”
“No Time to Die” from “No Time to Die”
“So May We Start” from “Annette”
Watch out for: “Be Alive” from “King Richard”; “Somehow You Do” from “Four Good Days”; “Your Song Saved My Live” from “Sing 2”
BEST SOUND
Predicted nominees:
“Dune”
“No Time to Die”
“Spider-Man: No Way Home”
“tick, tick…BOOM!”
“West Side Story”
Watch out for: “Belfast,” “The Power of the Dog,” “A Quiet Place Part II”
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Predicted nominees:
“Dune”
“The Matrix Resurrections”
“No Time to Die”
“Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”
“Spider-Man: No Way Home”
Watch out for: “Black Widow,” “Eternals,” “Godzilla vs. Kong”
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
Predicted nominees:
“Drive My Car”
“Flee”
“The Hand of God”
“A Hero”
“The Worst Person in the World”
Watch out for: “Compartment No. 6,” “Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom,” “I’m Your Man”
BEST ANIMATED FILM
Predicted nominees:
“Encanto”
“Flee”
“Luca”
“The Mitchells vs. the Machines”
“Raya and the Last Dragon”
Watch out for: “Belle,” “My Sunny Maad,” “Sing 2”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Predicted nominees:
“Ascension”
“Attica”
“Flee”
“Simple as Water”
“Summer of Soul”
Watch out for: “In the Same Breath,” “President,” “The Rescue”
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Predicted nominees:
“A Broken House”
“Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker”
“Lynching Postcards: ‘Token of a Great Day’”
“The Queen of Basketball”
“Three Songs for Benazir”
Watch out for: “Audible,” “Day of Rage,” “Lead Me Home”
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Predicted nominees:
“Bad Seeds”
“Namoo”
“Robin Robin”
“Us Again”
“The Windshield Wiper”
Watch out for: “Bestia,” “The Musician,” “Step Into the River”
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Predicted nominees:
“Distances”
“The Long Goodbye”
“On My Mind”
“Please Hold”
“You’re Dead Helen”
Watch out for: “Les Grandes Claques,” “Stenofonen,” “Tala’vision”
